emeraldglass
6'1" Gymmaxed Moroccan Stoic— MOD from Benelux
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Most of you won’t read this cause you are to dumb to understand or focus
Summary: There are several plausible reasons for the recent events in Gaza:
1. Israel may have allowed this to happen intentionally, potentially to exert control over Gaza entirely.
2. Another possibility is that Israel allowed this to divert attention from its domestic political issues.
3. It's also feasible that Israel allowed this to rejuvenate the national and international spirit of Zionism.
4. There might have been an unpreparedness or technical failure on Israel's part, possibly even influenced by internal factors.
There are indications of involvement from Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, and perhaps Russia.
Full analysis
I'm discussing plausible scenarios here. The possibility that the incursion was allowed is plausible; it's a valid consideration. Equally plausible is the idea that the incursion occurred due to an intelligence failure. There's no need to dismiss this as a possibility.
Looking at both scenarios, if the Israelis allowed it, the prevailing thought among those who advocate that theory is that Israel wanted to create a justification for a full-scale war against Gaza, and perhaps even beyond Gaza. However, there's a significant question: when did they ever need a justification? Israel routinely attacks Gaza, and no one ever questions their reasons. Even a minor action by Hamas can lead to full international support for Israel's extensive retaliatory actions. In this context, the idea that they did this or allowed it to construct a justification isn't particularly convincing to me.
The alternative theory suggests that the incursion was permitted to divert attention from Israel's internal political conflicts and divisions, as well as to shift focus away from the opposition and protest movement against what is considered the most unpopular prime minister in Israeli history. This is a plausible explanation because, until 48 hours ago, it seemed like there was no one in Israel more despised than Netanyahu.
Another possibility is that the incursion was orchestrated to rejuvenate the ideological foundation of Israel's existence. Israel has historically justified its existence by highlighting the supposed existential threats faced by Jews. However, the normalization trend undermines the idea that Israel is in any real danger. Therefore, it's conceivable that they wanted to provoke some form of danger, as peace in the Middle East weakens Israel's position. They may need conflict to justify their continued existence.
I knew when the Abraham Accords were first signed, that we might witness an escalation in Israel's conflict with Hamas because Hamas is rapidly becoming the only perceived threat that Israel can point to. They require this threat to persist to continue justifying Zionism.
So, if we entertain the idea that the Israelis allowed the incursion, we must consider more plausible reasons why they would do so. Building a justification for an attack on Gaza doesn't seem convincing because Israel has the freedom to act in Gaza without significant international scrutiny. Therefore, other potential reasons come into play, such as distracting from domestic political problems or revitalizing Zionism itself, which is losing its appeal in the 21st century.
Furthermore, if we assume the incursion was allowed, it's possible they did it to change the facts on the ground, possibly in preparation for negotiations with the Saudis. The Saudis have stated that Israel's return to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a Palestinian State are prerequisites for any normalization deal. Typically, Israel intensifies actions like land seizures and violence before negotiations to influence the terms being discussed.
There are several intriguing questions or angles to consider. For instance, this operation demonstrates a level of sophistication and capability we've never seen from Hamas before. Their capabilities have significantly improved recently, despite Gaza's isolation and blockade. How did this happen? Weapons, including some from Ukraine, have reached Gaza. Some of these weapons were originally intended for Ukraine but ended up on the black market and in Gaza. Furthermore, it seems that training has reached Gaza. This could mean that Hamas fighters received training outside of Gaza, trainers infiltrated Gaza, or trained fighters entered Gaza.
The current generation of Hamas fighters has little guerrilla warfare experience, yet they executed a highly effective operation. Where did this expertise and ability come from? There might be a connection with recent events and changes in Middle East relationships. For instance, Saudi Arabia's reconciliation with Iran, meetings between Saudi leaders and various Middle Eastern groups, and Saudi Arabia advising its citizens to leave Lebanon all occurred before Hamas demonstrated its newfound capabilities. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have ties to private militias like Wagner and Blackwater, and they have deployed these militias in multiple countries. It's possible that Saudi leaders are involved in coordinating, training, arming, and funding militant groups to gain control over disruptive actors in the region, including Hamas. While I can't confirm this, it wouldn't be surprising to see headlines suggesting such connections in the future.
@J5F0O1VJe00 @TRUE_CEL @IwantToLooksMaxx @SecularIslamist
Summary: There are several plausible reasons for the recent events in Gaza:
1. Israel may have allowed this to happen intentionally, potentially to exert control over Gaza entirely.
2. Another possibility is that Israel allowed this to divert attention from its domestic political issues.
3. It's also feasible that Israel allowed this to rejuvenate the national and international spirit of Zionism.
4. There might have been an unpreparedness or technical failure on Israel's part, possibly even influenced by internal factors.
There are indications of involvement from Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, and perhaps Russia.
Full analysis
I'm discussing plausible scenarios here. The possibility that the incursion was allowed is plausible; it's a valid consideration. Equally plausible is the idea that the incursion occurred due to an intelligence failure. There's no need to dismiss this as a possibility.
Looking at both scenarios, if the Israelis allowed it, the prevailing thought among those who advocate that theory is that Israel wanted to create a justification for a full-scale war against Gaza, and perhaps even beyond Gaza. However, there's a significant question: when did they ever need a justification? Israel routinely attacks Gaza, and no one ever questions their reasons. Even a minor action by Hamas can lead to full international support for Israel's extensive retaliatory actions. In this context, the idea that they did this or allowed it to construct a justification isn't particularly convincing to me.
The alternative theory suggests that the incursion was permitted to divert attention from Israel's internal political conflicts and divisions, as well as to shift focus away from the opposition and protest movement against what is considered the most unpopular prime minister in Israeli history. This is a plausible explanation because, until 48 hours ago, it seemed like there was no one in Israel more despised than Netanyahu.
Another possibility is that the incursion was orchestrated to rejuvenate the ideological foundation of Israel's existence. Israel has historically justified its existence by highlighting the supposed existential threats faced by Jews. However, the normalization trend undermines the idea that Israel is in any real danger. Therefore, it's conceivable that they wanted to provoke some form of danger, as peace in the Middle East weakens Israel's position. They may need conflict to justify their continued existence.
I knew when the Abraham Accords were first signed, that we might witness an escalation in Israel's conflict with Hamas because Hamas is rapidly becoming the only perceived threat that Israel can point to. They require this threat to persist to continue justifying Zionism.
So, if we entertain the idea that the Israelis allowed the incursion, we must consider more plausible reasons why they would do so. Building a justification for an attack on Gaza doesn't seem convincing because Israel has the freedom to act in Gaza without significant international scrutiny. Therefore, other potential reasons come into play, such as distracting from domestic political problems or revitalizing Zionism itself, which is losing its appeal in the 21st century.
Furthermore, if we assume the incursion was allowed, it's possible they did it to change the facts on the ground, possibly in preparation for negotiations with the Saudis. The Saudis have stated that Israel's return to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a Palestinian State are prerequisites for any normalization deal. Typically, Israel intensifies actions like land seizures and violence before negotiations to influence the terms being discussed.
There are several intriguing questions or angles to consider. For instance, this operation demonstrates a level of sophistication and capability we've never seen from Hamas before. Their capabilities have significantly improved recently, despite Gaza's isolation and blockade. How did this happen? Weapons, including some from Ukraine, have reached Gaza. Some of these weapons were originally intended for Ukraine but ended up on the black market and in Gaza. Furthermore, it seems that training has reached Gaza. This could mean that Hamas fighters received training outside of Gaza, trainers infiltrated Gaza, or trained fighters entered Gaza.
The current generation of Hamas fighters has little guerrilla warfare experience, yet they executed a highly effective operation. Where did this expertise and ability come from? There might be a connection with recent events and changes in Middle East relationships. For instance, Saudi Arabia's reconciliation with Iran, meetings between Saudi leaders and various Middle Eastern groups, and Saudi Arabia advising its citizens to leave Lebanon all occurred before Hamas demonstrated its newfound capabilities. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have ties to private militias like Wagner and Blackwater, and they have deployed these militias in multiple countries. It's possible that Saudi leaders are involved in coordinating, training, arming, and funding militant groups to gain control over disruptive actors in the region, including Hamas. While I can't confirm this, it wouldn't be surprising to see headlines suggesting such connections in the future.
@J5F0O1VJe00 @TRUE_CEL @IwantToLooksMaxx @SecularIslamist
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