MY BROTHER IS ON THIS SITE

socialcel

socialcel

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So today, while I was scrolling, I came across this user named @kebab , and guess what? All his posts and conments matched my brother exactly.

Then later on in the day, I thought you know what?

Let’s check his search history.

And there I saw it boy, looksfags.org, it was all there, logged in.



So it turns out, my brother (@kebab ) is INDEED on this sewer, so I just wanted to make sure you all know, we’re gigajews.

At least I’m not the only incel in my family.

tags

@WishIwasChico @Eli @anthony111553 @Goth @PseudoMaxxer @autistic_tendencies @marek937 @Zonar @GabachoCopium
 
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- a jew
 
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aint no way bro 😭😭😭😭
 
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Tales from the LooksMafia trap house
 
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@socialcel bro call me asap lmma fly back and beat you up ngl
 
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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERTROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT1HURRICANE JOVA(EP112023)4–10 September 2023Lisa BucciNational Hurricane Center1 February 2024GOES-18 INFRARED IMAGERY AT 0000 UTC 7 SEPTEMBER WHILE JOVA WAS AT PEAK INTENSITY. IMAGE COURTESY OF NOAA/NESDIS/STAR.Jova was a category 5 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) thatoccurred in the eastern Pacific ocean and did not affect land.1 This is an abbreviated Tropical Cyclone Report since there were no coastal watches or warnings issuedand no direct fatalities reported in association with Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 2Hurricane Jova4–10 SEPTEMBER 2023BEST TRACKHurricane Jova is notable for its impressive rapid intensification over a 48-h period, goingfrom a 30-kt tropical depression on 0000 UTC 5 September to its peak intensity of 140-kt on 0000UTC 7 September (cover photo). The “best track2” positions and intensities for Hurricane Jovaare listed in Table 1. The best track chart of Jova’s path is given in Fig. 1, with the wind andpressure histories along with available observations3 shown in Figs. 2 and 3, respectively.There were no ship or buoy reports of tropical-storm-force winds associated with Jova.OriginThe origins of Jova are from an easterly wave that exited the western coast of Africa on23 August, crossed the Windward Islands on 29‒30 August and crossed Central America on 1‒2 September. A tropical depression formed over the eastern Pacific on 4 September.Peak Intensity and Minimum PressureThe peak intensity of 140 kt at 0000 UTC through 0600 UTC 7 September is supportedby subjective Dvorak estimates from SAB and TAFB. While satellite intensity estimates continuedto rise or were steady after the peak, this appears to be an artifact of the satellite classificationconstraints causing the estimates to lag during to the storm’s rapid intensification.The estimated minimum central pressure of 926 mb is based on the Knaff-Zehr-Courtney(KZC) pressure-wind relationship.2 A digital record of the complete best track, including wind radii, can be found on line atftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf. Data for the current year’s storms are located in the btk directory, while previousyears’ data are located in the archive directory.3 Observations include subjective satellite-based Dvorak technique intensity estimates from the TropicalAnalysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB) and the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), objective Advanced DvorakTechnique (ADT) estimates and Satellite Consensus (SATCON) estimates from the Cooperative Institutefor Meteorological Satellite Studies/University of Wisconsin-Madison. Data and imagery from NOAA polarorbiting satellites including the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU), the NASA Global PrecipitationMission (GPM), the European Space Agency’s Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), and DefenseMeteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites, among others, were also useful in constructing the besttrack of Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 3CASUALTY AND DAMAGE STATISTCSThere were no reports of damage or casualties associated with Jova.FORECAST AND WARNING VERIFICATIONTable 2 provides the number of hours in advance of formation with the first NHC TropicalWeather Outlook (TWO) forecast in each likelihood category. Figure 4 shows composites of 7-day TWO genesis areas for each category prior to the formation of Jova. Jova’s genesis locationoccurred within all potential formation areas depicted by NHC. However, the forecast lead timefor genesis was short, with the system first introduced in the TWO only 90 h before formation.The 48-h probability did not reach the high category until 6 h prior to genesis.A verification of NHC official track forecasts for Jova is given in Table 3a. Official trackforecast errors were lower than the mean official errors for the previous 5-yr period for all forecasthours except 72 h. A homogeneous comparison of the official track errors with selected guidancemodels is given in Table 3b.A verification of NHC official intensity forecasts for Jova is given in Table 4a. Officialintensity forecast errors were greater than the mean official errors for the previous 5-yr period forall forecast hours, largely due to NHC’s forecast not anticipating the magnitude of the storm’srapid intensification and subsequent weakening. A homogeneous comparison of the officialintensity errors with selected guidance models is given in Table 4b. Of the available guidance,the statistical models (including LGEM and DSHP) performed better than the official forecast,particularly in the short-term forecast period, because they more accurately captured Jova’s rapidintensification (Fig. 5). Several of the simple and corrected consensus aids (HCCA, ICON, etc.)had lower intensity errors than the NHC forecast throughout most, if not all, of the forecast period.Those guidance aids also predicted Jova’s rapid weakening phase especially well. Regional andglobal dynamical models largely missed the rapid intensification event, though those aids tendedto have errors lower than the official forecast errors in the long-term forecast period (72-96 h).There were no coastal watches or warnings issued for Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 4Table 1. Best track for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.Date/Time(UTC)Latitude(°N)Longitude(°W)Pressure(mb)Wind Speed(kt) Stage04 / 1200 12.2 102.8 1007 30 low04 / 1800 12.3 103.8 1007 30 tropical depression05 / 0000 12.4 104.9 1006 30 "05 / 0600 12.4 105.9 1004 35 tropical storm05 / 1200 12.5 106.7 1001 45 "05 / 1800 12.7 107.5 998 50 "06 / 0000 13.0 108.2 993 60 "06 / 0600 13.3 109.0 981 75 hurricane06 / 1200 13.9 110.0 972 90 "06 / 1800 14.6 111.1 953 115 "07 / 0000 15.3 112.4 926 140 "07 / 0600 16.1 113.7 926 140 "07 / 1200 16.8 115.0 932 135 "07 / 1800 17.4 116.6 941 125 "08 / 0000 18.0 117.9 947 115 "08 / 0600 18.8 119.1 959 100 "08 / 1200 19.5 120.6 972 85 "08 / 1800 20.1 121.9 980 75 "09 / 0000 20.7 123.2 984 70 "09 / 0600 21.2 124.2 986 60 tropical storm09 / 1200 22.0 125.2 992 55 "09 / 1800 22.6 125.8 999 45 "10 / 0000 23.3 126.2 999 45 "10 / 0600 23.8 126.6 1001 40 low10 / 1200 24.2 127.0 1004 35 "10 / 1800 24.5 127.4 1005 30 "11 / 0000 24.7 127.7 1006 30 "11 / 0600 24.8 128.2 1007 30 "11 / 1200 24.7 128.6 1008 30 "HURRICANE JOVA 5Date/Time(UTC)Latitude(°N)Longitude(°W)Pressure(mb)Wind Speed(kt) Stage11 / 1800 24.6 129.0 1009 25 "12 / 0000 24.4 129.5 1010 25 "12 / 0600 23.9 130.5 1011 25 "12 / 1200 23.3 131.4 1011 25 "12 / 1800 22.7 132.5 1012 20 "13 / 0000 22.4 133.8 1012 20 "13 / 0600 22.3 135.1 1012 20 "13 / 1200 22.1 136.7 1012 20 "13 / 1800 21.8 138.6 1012 20 "14 / 0000 20.9 140.0 1013 20 "14 / 0600 dissipated07 / 0000 15.3 112.4 926 140 minimum pressure &maximum windsHURRICANE JOVA 6Table 2. Number of hours in advance of formation associated with the first NHC TropicalWeather Outlook forecast in the indicated likelihood category. Note that thetimings for the “Low” category do not include forecasts of a 0% chance of genesis.Hours Before Genesis48-Hour Outlook 168-Hour OutlookLow (<40%) 60 90Medium (40%-60%) 30 78High (>60%) 6 66Table 3a. NHC official (OFCL) and climatology-persistence skill baseline (OCD5) trackforecast errors (n mi) for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Mean errors forthe previous 5-yr period are shown for comparison. Official errors that are smallerthan the 5-yr means are shown in boldface type.Forecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 19.7 30.0 39.8 48.9 64.0 80.4 86.1 73.6OCD5 33.5 62.2 94.8 137.1 205.9 281.2 370.2 408.2Forecasts 20 18 16 14 12 10 6 2OFCL (2018-22) 22.1 34.0 45.4 56.0 70.9 78.7 100.5 117.8OCD5 (2018-22) 36.7 73.4 114.0 156.9 193.2 244.5 317.0 376.0HURRICANE JOVA 7Table 3b. Homogeneous comparison of selected track forecast guidance models (in n mi)for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Errors smaller than the NHC officialforecast are shown in boldface type. The number of official forecasts shown herewill generally be smaller than that shown in Table 3a due to the homogeneityrequirement.Model IDForecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 16.2 27.8 42.0 54.0 68.0 81.9 78.1OCD5 29.1 61.8 106.5 170.3 253.5 339.7 450.2GFSI 17.9 35.1 54.1 73.1 84.8 101.4 66.5HWFI 18.2 36.7 60.8 78.1 90.3 114.6 120.3HMNI 23.4 39.9 51.5 63.2 60.5 69.1 69.0HFAI 22.4 43.2 63.2 76.6 86.2 89.6 109.5HFBI 22.3 43.0 59.1 72.9 66.9 58.2 41.5EGRI 22.7 45.9 79.0 116.8 159.1 208.8 332.5EMXI 17.4 23.3 32.9 48.0 60.9 79.1 105.6NVGI 21.4 26.4 37.7 52.8 72.9 88.5 86.1CMCI 22.4 42.1 59.5 70.9 85.7 85.5 81.5CTCI 22.5 44.3 61.9 86.0 97.0 126.8 108.3TVCE 16.8 31.9 47.6 62.2 73.6 89.7 97.1TVCX 17.0 31.2 46.5 61.6 72.7 89.2 91.6GFEX 14.7 25.8 41.2 56.1 70.6 87.7 85.7TVDG 17.3 32.0 47.2 61.2 76.2 95.1 109.7HCCA 16.8 26.9 38.6 48.4 57.7 63.7 83.9FSSE 16.0 25.6 37.4 43.0 53.7 75.2 85.6AEMI 17.8 34.8 53.1 75.3 86.6 94.9 97.2TABS 25.8 46.0 59.9 82.3 123.5 148.8 57.0TABM 19.4 29.1 43.9 69.9 106.5 123.1 60.1TABD 18.3 28.3 46.2 74.2 104.5 127.4 58.7Forecasts 16 14 12 10 8 6 2 0HURRICANE JOVA 8Table 4a. NHC official (OFCL) and climatology-persistence skill baseline (OCD5) intensityforecast errors (kt) for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Mean errors for theprevious 5-yr period are shown for comparison. Official errors that are smallerthan the 5-yr means are shown in boldface type.Forecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 9.0 17.8 25.9 32.1 32.1 26.0 24.2 25.0OCD5 10.7 20.7 30.0 37.5 39.2 34.8 15.8 17.5Forecasts 20 18 16 14 12 10 6 2OFCL (2018-22) 5.4 8.9 11.0 12.8 14.3 15.8 17.0 17.6OCD5 (2018-22) 6.9 12.1 15.9 18.6 18.7 21.0 22.3 22.1HURRICANE JOVA 9Table 4b. Homogeneous comparison of selected intensity forecast guidance models (in kt)for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Errors smaller than the NHC officialforecast are shown in boldface type. The number of official forecasts shown herewill generally be smaller than that shown in Table 4a due to the homogeneityrequirement.Model IDForecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 9.4 18.4 25.4 26.7 27.5 26.9 25.0OCD5 11.2 22.3 30.5 33.2 32.6 30.4 21.0HWFI 13.3 22.6 30.9 28.9 21.2 13.5 3.8HMNI 11.9 22.1 28.3 25.9 20.4 15.4 2.8HFAI 11.6 22.1 30.1 27.2 18.5 9.4 4.5HFBI 12.4 22.1 28.7 26.7 18.6 11.8 4.0DSHP 8.6 16.4 24.9 29.6 30.2 33.2 42.8LGEM 7.2 13.6 19.5 21.9 23.3 26.1 26.8ICON 9.6 18.3 24.4 24.1 19.8 16.4 16.5IVCN 10.1 19.3 26.2 24.0 16.8 11.2 11.0IVDR 10.7 20.6 28.4 26.2 18.3 10.2 7.0CTCI 10.7 19.9 27.5 24.8 15.7 10.4 7.2GFSI 14.0 28.1 39.0 40.2 34.9 23.1 9.0EMXI 16.5 31.9 43.4 44.3 35.3 22.9 6.8HCCA 9.2 15.8 20.6 18.0 9.0 5.5 7.2FSSE 9.6 19.2 28.4 27.5 18.8 13.4 20.0Forecasts 18 16 14 12 10 8 4 0HURRICANE JOVA 10Figure 1. Best track positions for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.HURRICANE JOVA 11Figure 2. Selected wind observations and best track maximum sustained surface wind speed curve for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September2023. Advanced Dvorak Technique estimates represent the Current Intensity at the nominal observation time. SATCONintensity estimates are from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies. Dashed vertical lines correspond to0000 UTC.HURRICANE JOVA 12Figure 3. Selected pressure observations and best track minimum central pressure curve for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.Advanced Dvorak Technique estimates represent the Current Intensity at the nominal observation time. SATCON intensityestimates are from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies. KZC P-W refers to pressure estimates derivedusing the Knaff-Zehr-Courtney pressure-wind relationship. Dashed vertical lines correspond to 0000 UTC.HURRICANE JOVA 13Figure 4. Composites of 7-day tropical cyclone genesis areas depicted in NHC’s Tropical Weather Outlooks prior to the formation of Jovafor (a) all probabilistic genesis categories, (b) the low (<40%) category, (c) medium (40–60%) category, and (d) high (>60%)category. The location of genesis is indicated by the black star.HURRICANE JOVA 14Figure 5. (Upper left) NHC official intensity forecasts (dashed blue lines) from 0000 UTC 5 September to 1800 UTC 9 September. (Upperright) Interpolated HAFS-A intensity forecasts (dotted dark green), (lower left) LGEM (dotted dark magenta), and (lower right)ICON (dotted cyan) are shown for the same times. The best track is depicted by the black line with markers shown every 6hours.


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bro its legit ask @exiviz he knows i have a blackpilled lil bro that mogs me
 
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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERTROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT1HURRICANE JOVA(EP112023)4–10 September 2023Lisa BucciNational Hurricane Center1 February 2024GOES-18 INFRARED IMAGERY AT 0000 UTC 7 SEPTEMBER WHILE JOVA WAS AT PEAK INTENSITY. IMAGE COURTESY OF NOAA/NESDIS/STAR.Jova was a category 5 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) thatoccurred in the eastern Pacific ocean and did not affect land.1 This is an abbreviated Tropical Cyclone Report since there were no coastal watches or warnings issuedand no direct fatalities reported in association with Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 2Hurricane Jova4–10 SEPTEMBER 2023BEST TRACKHurricane Jova is notable for its impressive rapid intensification over a 48-h period, goingfrom a 30-kt tropical depression on 0000 UTC 5 September to its peak intensity of 140-kt on 0000UTC 7 September (cover photo). The “best track2” positions and intensities for Hurricane Jovaare listed in Table 1. The best track chart of Jova’s path is given in Fig. 1, with the wind andpressure histories along with available observations3 shown in Figs. 2 and 3, respectively.There were no ship or buoy reports of tropical-storm-force winds associated with Jova.OriginThe origins of Jova are from an easterly wave that exited the western coast of Africa on23 August, crossed the Windward Islands on 29‒30 August and crossed Central America on 1‒2 September. A tropical depression formed over the eastern Pacific on 4 September.Peak Intensity and Minimum PressureThe peak intensity of 140 kt at 0000 UTC through 0600 UTC 7 September is supportedby subjective Dvorak estimates from SAB and TAFB. While satellite intensity estimates continuedto rise or were steady after the peak, this appears to be an artifact of the satellite classificationconstraints causing the estimates to lag during to the storm’s rapid intensification.The estimated minimum central pressure of 926 mb is based on the Knaff-Zehr-Courtney(KZC) pressure-wind relationship.2 A digital record of the complete best track, including wind radii, can be found on line atftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf. Data for the current year’s storms are located in the btk directory, while previousyears’ data are located in the archive directory.3 Observations include subjective satellite-based Dvorak technique intensity estimates from the TropicalAnalysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB) and the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), objective Advanced DvorakTechnique (ADT) estimates and Satellite Consensus (SATCON) estimates from the Cooperative Institutefor Meteorological Satellite Studies/University of Wisconsin-Madison. Data and imagery from NOAA polarorbiting satellites including the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU), the NASA Global PrecipitationMission (GPM), the European Space Agency’s Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), and DefenseMeteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites, among others, were also useful in constructing the besttrack of Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 3CASUALTY AND DAMAGE STATISTCSThere were no reports of damage or casualties associated with Jova.FORECAST AND WARNING VERIFICATIONTable 2 provides the number of hours in advance of formation with the first NHC TropicalWeather Outlook (TWO) forecast in each likelihood category. Figure 4 shows composites of 7-day TWO genesis areas for each category prior to the formation of Jova. Jova’s genesis locationoccurred within all potential formation areas depicted by NHC. However, the forecast lead timefor genesis was short, with the system first introduced in the TWO only 90 h before formation.The 48-h probability did not reach the high category until 6 h prior to genesis.A verification of NHC official track forecasts for Jova is given in Table 3a. Official trackforecast errors were lower than the mean official errors for the previous 5-yr period for all forecasthours except 72 h. A homogeneous comparison of the official track errors with selected guidancemodels is given in Table 3b.A verification of NHC official intensity forecasts for Jova is given in Table 4a. Officialintensity forecast errors were greater than the mean official errors for the previous 5-yr period forall forecast hours, largely due to NHC’s forecast not anticipating the magnitude of the storm’srapid intensification and subsequent weakening. A homogeneous comparison of the officialintensity errors with selected guidance models is given in Table 4b. Of the available guidance,the statistical models (including LGEM and DSHP) performed better than the official forecast,particularly in the short-term forecast period, because they more accurately captured Jova’s rapidintensification (Fig. 5). Several of the simple and corrected consensus aids (HCCA, ICON, etc.)had lower intensity errors than the NHC forecast throughout most, if not all, of the forecast period.Those guidance aids also predicted Jova’s rapid weakening phase especially well. Regional andglobal dynamical models largely missed the rapid intensification event, though those aids tendedto have errors lower than the official forecast errors in the long-term forecast period (72-96 h).There were no coastal watches or warnings issued for Jova.HURRICANE JOVA 4Table 1. Best track for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.Date/Time(UTC)Latitude(°N)Longitude(°W)Pressure(mb)Wind Speed(kt) Stage04 / 1200 12.2 102.8 1007 30 low04 / 1800 12.3 103.8 1007 30 tropical depression05 / 0000 12.4 104.9 1006 30 "05 / 0600 12.4 105.9 1004 35 tropical storm05 / 1200 12.5 106.7 1001 45 "05 / 1800 12.7 107.5 998 50 "06 / 0000 13.0 108.2 993 60 "06 / 0600 13.3 109.0 981 75 hurricane06 / 1200 13.9 110.0 972 90 "06 / 1800 14.6 111.1 953 115 "07 / 0000 15.3 112.4 926 140 "07 / 0600 16.1 113.7 926 140 "07 / 1200 16.8 115.0 932 135 "07 / 1800 17.4 116.6 941 125 "08 / 0000 18.0 117.9 947 115 "08 / 0600 18.8 119.1 959 100 "08 / 1200 19.5 120.6 972 85 "08 / 1800 20.1 121.9 980 75 "09 / 0000 20.7 123.2 984 70 "09 / 0600 21.2 124.2 986 60 tropical storm09 / 1200 22.0 125.2 992 55 "09 / 1800 22.6 125.8 999 45 "10 / 0000 23.3 126.2 999 45 "10 / 0600 23.8 126.6 1001 40 low10 / 1200 24.2 127.0 1004 35 "10 / 1800 24.5 127.4 1005 30 "11 / 0000 24.7 127.7 1006 30 "11 / 0600 24.8 128.2 1007 30 "11 / 1200 24.7 128.6 1008 30 "HURRICANE JOVA 5Date/Time(UTC)Latitude(°N)Longitude(°W)Pressure(mb)Wind Speed(kt) Stage11 / 1800 24.6 129.0 1009 25 "12 / 0000 24.4 129.5 1010 25 "12 / 0600 23.9 130.5 1011 25 "12 / 1200 23.3 131.4 1011 25 "12 / 1800 22.7 132.5 1012 20 "13 / 0000 22.4 133.8 1012 20 "13 / 0600 22.3 135.1 1012 20 "13 / 1200 22.1 136.7 1012 20 "13 / 1800 21.8 138.6 1012 20 "14 / 0000 20.9 140.0 1013 20 "14 / 0600 dissipated07 / 0000 15.3 112.4 926 140 minimum pressure &maximum windsHURRICANE JOVA 6Table 2. Number of hours in advance of formation associated with the first NHC TropicalWeather Outlook forecast in the indicated likelihood category. Note that thetimings for the “Low” category do not include forecasts of a 0% chance of genesis.Hours Before Genesis48-Hour Outlook 168-Hour OutlookLow (<40%) 60 90Medium (40%-60%) 30 78High (>60%) 6 66Table 3a. NHC official (OFCL) and climatology-persistence skill baseline (OCD5) trackforecast errors (n mi) for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Mean errors forthe previous 5-yr period are shown for comparison. Official errors that are smallerthan the 5-yr means are shown in boldface type.Forecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 19.7 30.0 39.8 48.9 64.0 80.4 86.1 73.6OCD5 33.5 62.2 94.8 137.1 205.9 281.2 370.2 408.2Forecasts 20 18 16 14 12 10 6 2OFCL (2018-22) 22.1 34.0 45.4 56.0 70.9 78.7 100.5 117.8OCD5 (2018-22) 36.7 73.4 114.0 156.9 193.2 244.5 317.0 376.0HURRICANE JOVA 7Table 3b. Homogeneous comparison of selected track forecast guidance models (in n mi)for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Errors smaller than the NHC officialforecast are shown in boldface type. The number of official forecasts shown herewill generally be smaller than that shown in Table 3a due to the homogeneityrequirement.Model IDForecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 16.2 27.8 42.0 54.0 68.0 81.9 78.1OCD5 29.1 61.8 106.5 170.3 253.5 339.7 450.2GFSI 17.9 35.1 54.1 73.1 84.8 101.4 66.5HWFI 18.2 36.7 60.8 78.1 90.3 114.6 120.3HMNI 23.4 39.9 51.5 63.2 60.5 69.1 69.0HFAI 22.4 43.2 63.2 76.6 86.2 89.6 109.5HFBI 22.3 43.0 59.1 72.9 66.9 58.2 41.5EGRI 22.7 45.9 79.0 116.8 159.1 208.8 332.5EMXI 17.4 23.3 32.9 48.0 60.9 79.1 105.6NVGI 21.4 26.4 37.7 52.8 72.9 88.5 86.1CMCI 22.4 42.1 59.5 70.9 85.7 85.5 81.5CTCI 22.5 44.3 61.9 86.0 97.0 126.8 108.3TVCE 16.8 31.9 47.6 62.2 73.6 89.7 97.1TVCX 17.0 31.2 46.5 61.6 72.7 89.2 91.6GFEX 14.7 25.8 41.2 56.1 70.6 87.7 85.7TVDG 17.3 32.0 47.2 61.2 76.2 95.1 109.7HCCA 16.8 26.9 38.6 48.4 57.7 63.7 83.9FSSE 16.0 25.6 37.4 43.0 53.7 75.2 85.6AEMI 17.8 34.8 53.1 75.3 86.6 94.9 97.2TABS 25.8 46.0 59.9 82.3 123.5 148.8 57.0TABM 19.4 29.1 43.9 69.9 106.5 123.1 60.1TABD 18.3 28.3 46.2 74.2 104.5 127.4 58.7Forecasts 16 14 12 10 8 6 2 0HURRICANE JOVA 8Table 4a. NHC official (OFCL) and climatology-persistence skill baseline (OCD5) intensityforecast errors (kt) for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Mean errors for theprevious 5-yr period are shown for comparison. Official errors that are smallerthan the 5-yr means are shown in boldface type.Forecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 9.0 17.8 25.9 32.1 32.1 26.0 24.2 25.0OCD5 10.7 20.7 30.0 37.5 39.2 34.8 15.8 17.5Forecasts 20 18 16 14 12 10 6 2OFCL (2018-22) 5.4 8.9 11.0 12.8 14.3 15.8 17.0 17.6OCD5 (2018-22) 6.9 12.1 15.9 18.6 18.7 21.0 22.3 22.1HURRICANE JOVA 9Table 4b. Homogeneous comparison of selected intensity forecast guidance models (in kt)for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023. Errors smaller than the NHC officialforecast are shown in boldface type. The number of official forecasts shown herewill generally be smaller than that shown in Table 4a due to the homogeneityrequirement.Model IDForecast Period (h)12 24 36 48 60 72 96 120OFCL 9.4 18.4 25.4 26.7 27.5 26.9 25.0OCD5 11.2 22.3 30.5 33.2 32.6 30.4 21.0HWFI 13.3 22.6 30.9 28.9 21.2 13.5 3.8HMNI 11.9 22.1 28.3 25.9 20.4 15.4 2.8HFAI 11.6 22.1 30.1 27.2 18.5 9.4 4.5HFBI 12.4 22.1 28.7 26.7 18.6 11.8 4.0DSHP 8.6 16.4 24.9 29.6 30.2 33.2 42.8LGEM 7.2 13.6 19.5 21.9 23.3 26.1 26.8ICON 9.6 18.3 24.4 24.1 19.8 16.4 16.5IVCN 10.1 19.3 26.2 24.0 16.8 11.2 11.0IVDR 10.7 20.6 28.4 26.2 18.3 10.2 7.0CTCI 10.7 19.9 27.5 24.8 15.7 10.4 7.2GFSI 14.0 28.1 39.0 40.2 34.9 23.1 9.0EMXI 16.5 31.9 43.4 44.3 35.3 22.9 6.8HCCA 9.2 15.8 20.6 18.0 9.0 5.5 7.2FSSE 9.6 19.2 28.4 27.5 18.8 13.4 20.0Forecasts 18 16 14 12 10 8 4 0HURRICANE JOVA 10Figure 1. Best track positions for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.HURRICANE JOVA 11Figure 2. Selected wind observations and best track maximum sustained surface wind speed curve for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September2023. Advanced Dvorak Technique estimates represent the Current Intensity at the nominal observation time. SATCONintensity estimates are from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies. Dashed vertical lines correspond to0000 UTC.HURRICANE JOVA 12Figure 3. Selected pressure observations and best track minimum central pressure curve for Hurricane Jova, 4‒10 September 2023.Advanced Dvorak Technique estimates represent the Current Intensity at the nominal observation time. SATCON intensityestimates are from the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies. KZC P-W refers to pressure estimates derivedusing the Knaff-Zehr-Courtney pressure-wind relationship. Dashed vertical lines correspond to 0000 UTC.HURRICANE JOVA 13Figure 4. Composites of 7-day tropical cyclone genesis areas depicted in NHC’s Tropical Weather Outlooks prior to the formation of Jovafor (a) all probabilistic genesis categories, (b) the low (<40%) category, (c) medium (40–60%) category, and (d) high (>60%)category. The location of genesis is indicated by the black star.HURRICANE JOVA 14Figure 5. (Upper left) NHC official intensity forecasts (dashed blue lines) from 0000 UTC 5 September to 1800 UTC 9 September. (Upperright) Interpolated HAFS-A intensity forecasts (dotted dark green), (lower left) LGEM (dotted dark magenta), and (lower right)ICON (dotted cyan) are shown for the same times. The best track is depicted by the black line with markers shown every 6hours.


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Post this again and you will die by a driveby shooting at approximately 3:00pm in broad daylight on a normal Tuesday afternoon
 
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Post this again and you will die by a driveby shooting at approximately 3:00pm in broad daylight on a normal Tuesday afternoon
pat me
 
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Tai Lung
 
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Hurricane JOVA Advisory Archive​


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Monday September 4, 2023
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@socialcel thread ruined
 
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Should do a suicide pact or go ER.
 
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@Xangsane's illness is spreading. Soon there will be bots everywhere
 
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Your thread has been officially ruined by Hurricanemafia
 
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@Xangsane's illness is spreading. Soon there will be bots everywhere
Your thread has been officially ruined by Hurricanemafia
hurricane ERnesto will go ER this summer
hurricane humbERto will go ER next summer



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Tropical Cyclone Names​


Climatology | Names | Wind Scale | Extremes | Models | Breakpoints

Contents​



Atlantic Names​

Atlantic Pronunciation Guide (PDF)
202320242025202620272028
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harold
Idalia
Jose
Katia
Lee
Margot
Nigel
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney
Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Francine
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Milton
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sara
Tony
Valerie
William
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dexter
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Imelda
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy
Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gonzalo
Hanna
Isaias
Josephine
Kyle
Leah
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paulette
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred
Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Elsa
Fred
Grace
Henri
Imani
Julian
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
Wanda
Alex
Bonnie
Colin
Danielle
Earl
Farrah
Gaston
Hermine
Idris
Julia
Karl
Lisa
Martin
Nicole
Owen
Paula
Richard
Shary
Tobias
Virginie
Walter
Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms had been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center. They are now maintained and updated through a strict procedure by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization.
The six lists above are used in rotation and re-cycled every six years, i.e., the 2023 list will be used again in 2029. The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name for a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity. If that occurs, then at an annual meeting by the WMO committee (called primarily to discuss many other issues) the offending name is stricken from the list and another name is selected to replace it. Several names have been retired since the lists were created. Here is more information on the history of naming tropical cyclones and retired names.
If a storm forms during the off-season, it will take the next name in the list based on the current calendar date. For example, if a tropical cyclone formed on December 28th, it would take the name from the previous season's list of names. If a storm formed in February, it would be named from the subsequent season's list of names.
In the event that more than twenty-one named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, any additional storms will take names from an alternate list of names approved by the WMO. Here are the pronunciation guides for the Atlantic basin.
Can I have a tropical cyclone named for me?



Eastern North Pacific Names​

Eastern North Pacific Pronunciation Guide (PDF)
202320242025202620272028
Adrian
Beatriz
Calvin
Dora
Eugene
Fernanda
Greg
Hilary
Irwin
Jova
Kenneth
Lidia
Max
Norma
Otis
Pilar
Ramon
Selma
Todd
Veronica
Wiley
Xina
York
Zelda
Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Kristy
Lane
Miriam
Norman
Olivia
Paul
Rosa
Sergio
Tara
Vicente
Willa
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke
Alvin
Barbara
Cosme
Dalila
Erick
Flossie
Gil
Henriette
Ivo
Juliette
Kiko
Lorena
Mario
Narda
Octave
Priscilla
Raymond
Sonia
Tico
Velma
Wallis
Xina
York
Zelda
Amanda
Boris
Cristina
Douglas
Elida
Fausto
Genevieve
Hernan
Iselle
Julio
Karina
Lowell
Marie
Norbert
Odalys
Polo
Rachel
Simon
Trudy
Vance
Winnie
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke
Andres
Blanca
Carlos
Dolores
Enrique
Felicia
Guillermo
Hilda
Ignacio
Jimena
Kevin
Linda
Marty
Nora
Olaf
Pamela
Rick
Sandra
Terry
Vivian
Waldo
Xina
York
Zelda
Agatha
Blas
Celia
Darby
Estelle
Frank
Georgette
Howard
Ivette
Javier
Kay
Lester
Madeline
Newton
Orlene
Paine
Roslyn
Seymour
Tina
Virgil
Winifred
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke
These lists are also re-cycled every six years (the 2023 list will be used again in 2029).
In the event that more than twenty-four named tropical cyclones in the eastern North Pacific basin in a season, any additional storms will take names from an alternate list of names approved by the WMO. Here are the pronunciation guides for the eastern North Pacific basin.



Central North Pacific Names​

Central North Pacific Pronunciation Guide (PDF)
List 1List 2List 3List 4
Akoni
Ema
Hone
Iona
Keli
Lala
Moke
Nolo
Olana
Pena
Ulana
Wale
Aka
Ekeka
Hene
Iolana
Keoni
Lino
Mele
Nona
Oliwa
Pama
Upana
Wene
Alika
Ele
Huko
Iopa
Kika
Lana
Maka
Neki
Omeka
Pewa
Unala
Wali
Ana
Ela
Halola
Iune
Kilo
Loke
Malia
Niala
Oho
Pali
Ulika
Walaka
The names are used one after the other. When the bottom of one list is reached, the next name is the top of the next list.



Other Basin Names (Worldwide)​

Lists of names for other tropical cyclone basins outside of NHC responsibility can be found on the World Meteorological Organization tropical cyclone naming page.

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Your thread has been officially ruined by Hurricanemafia
the looks maffia will fight back you faggots

@kebab @Eli @anthony111553 @Goth @WishIwasChico
 
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Hurricanes me
 
The hurricanpussymafia will pay!!!!!

@Eli @WishIwasChico @JohnBaza @Bozoogway @socialcel @LooksOrDeathim declaring war on these mfers
 
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haha
 
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The hurricanpussymafia will pay!!!!!

@Eli @WishIwasChico @JohnBaza @Bozoogway @socialcel @LooksOrDeathim declaring war on these mfers
why is bro checking xangsane's profile?
1707521481091
 
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So today, while I was scrolling, I came across this user named @kebab , and guess what? All his posts and conments matched my brother exactly.

Then later on in the day, I thought you know what?

Let’s check his search history.

And there I saw it boy, looksfags.org, it was all there, logged in.



So it turns out, my brother (@kebab ) is INDEED on this sewer, so I just wanted to make sure you all know, we’re gigajews.

At least I’m not the only incel in my family.

tags

@WishIwasChico @Eli @anthony111553 @Goth @PseudoMaxxer @autistic_tendencies @marek937 @Zonar @GabachoCopium
half brother btw his mom is a gypsy hungarian
 
  • WTF
Reactions: socialcel
So today, while I was scrolling, I came across this user named @kebab , and guess what? All his posts and conments matched my brother exactly.

Then later on in the day, I thought you know what?

Let’s check his search history.

And there I saw it boy, looksfags.org, it was all there, logged in.



So it turns out, my brother (@kebab ) is INDEED on this sewer, so I just wanted to make sure you all know, we’re gigajews.

At least I’m not the only incel in my family.

tags

@WishIwasChico @Eli @anthony111553 @Goth @PseudoMaxxer @autistic_tendencies @marek937 @Zonar @GabachoCopium
0
 
@socialcel are u turkish too negga?
 
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  • JFL
Reactions: socialcel
53066.jpg
 
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  • JFL
Reactions: socialcel

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